The Hindu & IE – 18 June 14 – Turning to Iran & Preserving Iraq
The rapid advance across Iraq by Islamic State in the Levant (ISIL), the Syria-based extreme Sunni militia, to the point where its forces are only 60 km from Baghdad, has caused a serious humanitarian crisis and reopened several questions that are central to the future of West Asia. <The problems so caused are..>> Over half a million people have fled Iraq’s western province, Anbar, for the northeastern province of Kurdistan; the refugees need food and shelter urgently, and the United Nations High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) is already involved. In addition, images apparently showing ISIL summarily executing captured Iraqi soldiers have been posted online; the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees, Navi Pillay, states that if confirmed the executions would constitute war crimes. Secondly, ISIL has caused panic in the Iraqi army, sections of which have fled leaving behind tanks and other heavy weaponry. Thirdly, the United States and the United Kingdom, which led the illegal invasion of Iraq in 2003, now face contradictions they themselves have created.
<What are the reasons behind such a situation??>> A key reason for this situation is that in 2003 the invaders abolished Iraq’s public and civic institutions, in the deluded belief that all Iraqi officials were fanatical Saddam Hussein followers. Almost immediately, extreme Sunni and Shia leaders started a savage civil war, dividing Iraqi society and enabling al-Qaeda to establish a powerful presence where it previously had none. Matters were then exacerbated by Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki’s sectarianism; he sacked 700,000 Sunnis from the military and banned substantial numbers of Sunnis from civilian public-service posts. Widespread corruption and brutality on the part of government militias have made things even worse; some Mosul residents say that ISIL has brought renewed stability and an end to fighting, bomb explosions, and looting. <What about the larger picture in the Middle East??>> Moreover, two allies, Saudi Arabia and Qatar, have been funding and possibly arming ISIL with a view to overthrowing Syrian President Bashar al-Assad; Riyadh and Doha might also seek to remove Mr. al Maliki’s Shia-dominated government. <And the US stand??>> Above all, the British and American lies about Saddam Hussein’s weapons of mass destruction in 2003 now mean military intervention will not be tolerated by the public in either country. President Barack Obama is sending 275 troops to protect U.S. embassy staff in Baghdad, but he is on a slippery slope. <US & Iran>> As their entire political strategy towards the region collapses, and despite the harm done to Iran by western sanctions, Washington and London are finally seeking Iran’s help. <Conclusive Comment>> They are doing so for instrumental reasons, but a constructive response from Tehran could be an immense contribution to regional peace.
SUMMARY – Baghdad needs external help to defeat ISIS. The next challenge will be to establish inclusive governance.
The lightning advance of the fighters of the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) towards Baghdad — accompanied by unauthenticated pictures of mass executions by the Islamists — has slowed as the Sunni rebels consolidate their gains, although heavy clashes have erupted near Baquba, close to the capital. While that buys US President Barack Obama some time to carefully weigh his final options in assisting the government of Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, it is difficult to see how Iraq can return to status quo or preserve its current borders. The bloodbath in the wide stretches of territory the ISIS controls, including Fallujah, Ramadi, Mosul, Tikrit or now, the strategic city of Tal Afar, has fundamentally challenged the legitimacy of a state that, for a millennium, has been the battleground for the Shia-Sunni schism that has resurfaced with a vengeance recently and divided the Middle East along sectarian lines.
<The US stand>> The US is not putting boots on the ground, except for the military personnel needed to protect its embassy in Baghdad and perhaps to train Iraqi troops. It has deployed an aircraft carrier and warships in the Gulf and is reportedly considering drone strikes. But apart from the practical difficulty of air strikes against moving insurgent targets, Obama’s conundrum is how his policy of disengagement ended up doing exactly what his predecessor’s intervention in 2003 did — plunging Iraq into sectarian violence and civil war. Notwithstanding all talk of an uncanny cooperation between arch enemies, Washington and Tehran, Obama cannot ignore the reaction of his Arab allies — Sunni states like Saudi Arabia. For, even materially and militarily helping al-Maliki’s government, widely perceived to be Shiite triumphalist, will be read as the US taking sides and helping to indirectly strengthen Shiite Iran. That said, Sunni states too are concerned about the violence and intolerance the ISIS is unleashing. <<Notice the stand of the Sunni states in the 2 editorials> Washington and Tehran cannot afford to take things slow. <The other Middle East countries??>> Just as Iran, much like Turkey, cannot countenance a Sunni ISIS caliphate in western Iraq and eastern Syria, the US would be loath to waste its soldiers’ blood and the money poured into remaking Iraq.
<Conclusive Comment>> The ISIS advance seeks to upend a century of history, even as it wreaks destruction on human lives and shrines. While Baghdad must prepare its troops to push back against the rebels and take all the help it can get, the only means of preserving the state of Iraq is through a wider, more inclusive and representative government. To begin with, once the ISIS is defeated or restricted, there cannot be a renewed and more virulent Shia triumphalism targeting Iraq’s Sunni minority.
Q: In light of the recent invasion by ISIS/ISIL on Iraq, discuss the consequent developments at the local, regional and global level.
In which topic of the CS Mains syllabi, can this article fit in? –
- Paper -2, Effect of policies and politics of developed and developing countries on India’s interests
- Paper -4 Moral and political attitudes, Social Influence and persuasion, ethical issues in international relations and funding.
BE Consistent!